AAPL Start The Party Early
This morning Apple and AT&T announced the monthly plans for the iPhone. Only $60 a month... not bad... Anyway, without realizing it they are starting the party early. If you havn't made the swap now (Long to Short) you better hurry. Time is running out.


Click here if you have no idea what i'm talking about.
26 Jun 2007


Yogi Left His Shoes On
26 Jun 2007


Bet Against Apple - Get A Free iPhone
For those of you who want to get a free iPhone listen up. We all know that the iPhone is one of the most revolutionary phones in history. It will change mobile devices forever whether you believe the hype or not. News like this does not come often and there is always a big trade to be had. So what is the trade to make $$$ off the iPhone release?

Short The $hiT Out of AAPL

Now don't get me wrong, as a web developer/graphic designer there is no company (not even Google) that I respect more than Apple. That being said, this is about making money and you can't let your emotions get in the way. Is taking your profit from shorting a stock to buy that company's product really unethical???

One of the oldest sayings in the market is "Buy the rumor, Sell the news". We have seen it work time and time again. Once the iPhone is released, what news does AAPL have left? The potential revenue and the speculation around the iPhone is already built into the price of AAPL's stock anywhere above $120 a share.

Lets look at AAPL's chart since the Jan. 8th announcement. The stock exploded on the news of the phone at MacWorld. Since Apple had never preannounced a product before, everyone hopped in buying up every share they could find shooting the stock up 20%. Oh, its not available until July?? SELL SELL SELL back down to where it was before the announcement.


Ever since then its been rumor after rumor, press release after press release, blogs, newspapers tv reporters, iPhone iPhone iPhone. These "rumors" have taken the stock on a wild ride up over 50% in just 6 months. Untill its June 29th release only a select few have ever actually laid eyes on an iPhone. This my friends is why the iPhone (up until this Friday) is classified as a rumor.

Now sure, the iPhone launch will attract A LOT of attention and probably some new Apple investors (suckers). They will hear about the long lines at the AT&T/Cingular Stores. They will hear about how people are fighting over them and waiting in line all night to own one. None of this matters. The people who run the money on WallStreet have priced all of this into the stock.

So how do you get a free iPhone? It is simple, short 25 shares of AAPL from $125 (or higher) down to $100 in the 2 weeks following the iPhone release. Take the $625 profit and go pick yourself up an iPhone. Don't forget to put a stop somewhere around $129 just in case Mr. Jobs has something else up his sleeve. (its happened before)

It has been a great year for Apple investors. Those of us who bought in 1 year ago today have seen a 100%+ gain. But all good things must come to an end. Its time to make some money down the other side of the mountain.
25 Jun 2007


Pill Cams Are as Speculative as It Gets!
Today Cramer was pitching a company called Given Imaging(GIVN) for his Speculation Friday pick. These guys are actually convincing doctors and healthcare providers that they need a pill cam. Yes, as in a camera that you swallow. I love how it has the logo imprinted on the side of it, looks like a promotional product! Check out the website too, looks like a scandalous company trading on the pinksheets. I can't imagine a doctor prescribing their patient to swallow a camera. If people are actually benefiting from this then thats great, but honestly this seems like a desperate attempt implement imaging technology.
22 Jun 2007




NVDA- Sold Into Strength
Sold my NVDA today for a nice 15.68% gain. I bought it on the 13th @ $37 and sold today for $42.80. If I dont sell after making 15% in only 6 market days then im getting too greedy. I could have just sold part of my position but I am confident I will be able to buy back in lower. The stock was up almost 8% at one point today because of an analyst upgrade. They set a price target of $47 so I think investors will look for it to reach there in a few months. In the mean time I would rather sell into strength and book this nice pop today. I will probably look to get back in on a dip.
21 Jun 2007


Paint Jam


Now this is entertaining.
21 Jun 2007


Jones Soda - Great Story, Great Stock, Scary Stock


Watching a stock run from under $1 to over $30 is an amazing feeling... if you own it. I have been watching Jones Soda stock since before I even started trading. I couldnt believe that a little company like this was even public and back then it was trading at about 40 cents. I knew penny stocks were risky and I stayed clear of it.

With the AMAZING run Hansens had last year because of its monster energy drink investors have been chomping at the bit to find the next great soda story. Thats exactly what Jones has. They recently signed a major distribution deal, started selling cans for the first time, switched to ALL real sugars (went green?), might be expanding into fountain drinks, just signed a deal with the SeaHawks to be the official beverage etc. Its a great story of the American dream too considering some kids started their own soda company printing their pictures on the bottles.



Now the company is worth about $400 million and is sporting a PE near 100. JSDA ran $20 or 200% in the first 4 months of the year. When it topped out at $32.60 investors absolutely destroyed it. After coming back down to $15 and bouncing off the 200 SMA I think its time for me to give it a try. What the hell right, its never too late to try.
20 Jun 2007




PTR- Looking back
Back on March 7 I bought into Petro China at $112.05. The oil sector was booming and the DOW had just come out of one of the worst days in history. We lost 250 points in one day over a China "Scare". PTR got hit hard and I saw this as an opportunity.



This stock had been on a straight line up since it came public. What were the chances of it reversing? How much lower could it go than this? It had just broken through the 200 day moving average on significant volume because of the China thing. Usually I would see this as a negative sign, but on a stock that had been going straight up like this, It just looked cheap!

Quickly we went up and bounced off the 200 (#1) but the support held on the way back down (#2). When it busted through the 200 about a week later(#3), I knew I was in the right place. All we needed was a catalyst to send this stock higher.

On May 5th the Chinese government announced that they "found" a ONE BILLION TON oil field off the coast (#5). Hey!? Where did that come from?? The stock shot up $15 to $129.80.



I was looking for about a 10% gain and there it was. I sold off on May 30th at $127.85 because I wanted to book the profits. Yesterday PTR closed at $142.65 a cool $12 up from where I sold it only a month ago. This morning PTR opened at $150 on some news about it selling its shares on the Shanghai exchange.

Looking back I could have easily made 20% on that trade instead of 10%. Why did I sell? They had just made an incredible "discovery", The stock just exploded past the 200 and 50 day simple moving averages and the MACD just converged positive. Sometimes its better to just be patient and re-analyze the stock before pulling the trigger on your plan.
20 Jun 2007


<< Previous 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Next >>